The situation in the East of Ukraine in conditions of Russian military aggression can develop in two scenarios – military and hybrid. About this in his article on the website of the Voice of Ukraine according to the NSDC Secretary Oleksandr Turchynov.

“A military scenario – a full-scale military aggression, which is now the most problematic and hazardous for the Kremlin, but the implementation of which the armed forces to aggressively prepare”, – said Turchinov.

The most probable to date the NSDC Secretary calls the hybrid scenario.

“This scenario envisages the continued fighting of low intensity in the Donbass, that does not preclude local offensive operations of the Russian regular and irregular troops, as well as subversive activities on the territory of Ukraine”, – he writes.

Turchynov says that the country-aggressor Russia deliberately and systemically violates the Minsk agreement, continuously shelling the positions of ATO forces, including from the banned heavy weapons.

“These weapons are often hidden in residential areas, especially endangering the peace of Ukrainians, who are suffering under occupation. Just one day the occupation troops spend from 1 to 10 tons of ammunition,” he recalls.

In this regard, the Secretary of the security Council indicates the need for the most effective use of own resources and steadily follow the course of European and Euro-Atlantic integration.

“In these conditions, the highest national priority is the strengthening of the security sector and defense. During external aggression the development of the Armed Forces, National guard, security Service of Ukraine, law enforcement and intelligence agencies is, without exaggeration, the survival of an independent Ukraine”, – said the Turchynov.

The war in the Donbass can develop under two scenarios – Turchynov 17.08.2016

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